Narendra Modi is a double-edged sword for BJP
If Gujarat goes to the polls this week, will little doubt Narendra Modi win a fourth consecutive term as chief minister.
What is not clear whether the popular but divisive 62-year-old wins a big enough mandate to support his party to ensure the indictment coalition Prime Minister Manmohan Singh lead in the general election in 2014.
Many believe that only Modi, a little Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which failed to take advantage of the problems, a government strong economic downturn for a number of corruption scandals revive.
Surely, they argue, voters across the country choose a leader who is skilled Gujarat has brought its uninterrupted power supplies, slippery roads and flow of investments.
Ironically, however, if Modi is thrown by the government this week's elections in poll position as leader of the BJP in 2014, could ultimately torpedo his party's chances of winning back power for the first time since 2004.
Critics talk about him as an authoritarian leader and vindictive. What's worse, the toxic memory of religious riots that swept through his condition ten years ago suggests that Modi remains a Hindu hardliner who alienate more voters than his leadership and Oratory skills could hope to win.
"He is able to destroy BJP hopes at a national level," said James Manor, Professor of Commonwealth Studies, University of London. "He is not to generate a large number of voters outside Gujarat., He scares more than it generates."
Such a result could lead to greater political risk in a country that has fallen out of favor with investors in the past two years thanks to the political operation and incompetence in New Delhi.
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Gujarat will vote in a staggered elections on 13 December and 17 December. A narrow victory for Modi, or a shock defeat would probably ruin his chances to lead the BJP in 2014. But he is unlikely to lose.
A poll published by India Today magazine in November showed BJP was set to its share of the 182 state legislature seats up to 128 of the 117 won five years ago.
The survey also ranked Modi as a leader more popular than Rahul Gandhi, scion of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty that has ruled India for most of the post-independence era and took over Congress Party candidate to succeed Manmohan Singh.
Modi ascent can also revive the BJP. The party is loose, its management plagued by internal bickering and the Hindu revivalist movement ideology missing complaint was in the 1990s.
Dasgupta said that other party leaders' wariness of Modi would languish if he won convincingly in Gujarat, and he would probably like to "de facto leader" of the BJP created until 2014.
If Gujarat goes to the polls this week, will little doubt Narendra Modi win a fourth consecutive term as chief minister.
What is not clear whether the popular but divisive 62-year-old wins a big enough mandate to support his party to ensure the indictment coalition Prime Minister Manmohan Singh lead in the general election in 2014.
Many believe that only Modi, a little Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which failed to take advantage of the problems, a government strong economic downturn for a number of corruption scandals revive.
Surely, they argue, voters across the country choose a leader who is skilled Gujarat has brought its uninterrupted power supplies, slippery roads and flow of investments.
Ironically, however, if Modi is thrown by the government this week's elections in poll position as leader of the BJP in 2014, could ultimately torpedo his party's chances of winning back power for the first time since 2004.
"He is able to destroy BJP hopes at a national level," said James Manor, Professor of Commonwealth Studies, University of London. "He is not to generate a large number of voters outside Gujarat., He scares more than it generates."
Such a result could lead to greater political risk in a country that has fallen out of favor with investors in the past two years thanks to the political operation and incompetence in New Delhi.
Startup
Gujarat will vote in a staggered elections on 13 December and 17 December. A narrow victory for Modi, or a shock defeat would probably ruin his chances to lead the BJP in 2014. But he is unlikely to lose.
A poll published by India Today magazine in November showed BJP was set to its share of the 182 state legislature seats up to 128 of the 117 won five years ago.
The survey also ranked Modi as a leader more popular than Rahul Gandhi, scion of the Nehru-Gandhi dynasty that has ruled India for most of the post-independence era and took over Congress Party candidate to succeed Manmohan Singh.
Modi ascent can also revive the BJP. The party is loose, its management plagued by internal bickering and the Hindu revivalist movement ideology missing complaint was in the 1990s.
Dasgupta said that other party leaders' wariness of Modi would languish if he won convincingly in Gujarat, and he would probably like to "de facto leader" of the BJP created until 2014.
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